EACC

EU Commissioner Sinkevicius’ statement on Industrial emissions

Good afternoon to you all,
We have a vision of a better Europe in 2050, where pollution is brought down to levels no longer harmful to human health. We have defined it in the Zero Pollution Action Plan, which is part of the European Green Deal. When we adopted this action plan last year it was widely welcomed, but people wondered how it will work in practice. Today we’re showing what it means, with a significant strengthening of the rules that cover Industrial Emissions. The current framework is already a success. In just ten years, it’s lowered industrial emissions to air by between 40 and 85%, depending on the pollutant.
But the figures are still too high.
Large industrial plants and large livestock farms are responsible for more than half of total emissions of sulphur oxides and heavy metals, around 40% of greenhouse gases, and some 30% of nitrogen oxides and particulates. And the World Health Organisation is stressing that air pollution is a silent killer, causing hundreds of thousands of premature deaths in the EU every year. So today, we’re revising the rules. We’ve modernised the Industrial Emissions Directive, substantially raising the level of ambition and its potential to accompany industry in the green transition. The new version takes account of advances inside industry, it has a wider scope, and it gives citizens more detailed information about these emissions.
A few words about each of those themes.
First of all, the modernisation. There are many things I could mention here, but I will single out just a few. When Member States revise permits, they’ll be obliged to use stricter limit values for pollutants. That way we will ensure the direction of travel. Under the previous rules, the requirements for depollution and decarbonisation were independent. The new rules bring them closer together, so that future investments take better account of greenhouse gas emissions, resource efficiency and water reuse, all at the same time. Large installations will need to draw up Transformation Plans, showing how they propose to adopt techniques for pollution and carbon management between 2030 and 2050. We’re adding a few more flexibilities to the rules, to make it easier for operators to test and deploy emerging technologies. And to deal with the pace of innovation inside industry, and make sure EU rules take account of cutting-edge developments, we’re setting up a new Innovation Centre for Industrial Transformation & Emissions. That will ensure that news about the best advances really spreads throughout the industries in question.
Secondly, the scope. For the first time, large-scale cattle farming will be covered by these rules, together with more intensive pig and poultry farms. This means that around three-quarters of methane and ammonia emissions from livestock will now be included. As Frans mentioned already, new industries – like gigafactories for battery production, the mineral extraction industry and others – will be covered as well.
The third big change is reinforced rights for citizens. Member States and installation operators will have to make permit summaries publicly available on the internet, at no charge. A new Industrial Emissions Portal will make it easy to compare sites across sectors and Member States in the EU, to check on pollution and performance. And if operators fail to meet their obligations, citizens get better access to legal redress and compensation.
To conclude, these changes are indeed major, but we do this for good reason. The actions for livestock farms alone should bring benefits to human health in the region of €5.5 billion every year. Moreover, these changes will create more jobs, as the EU’s eco-innovation sector has shown in the past. And of course, these rules are designed to make our economy more efficient and more sustainable. That’s the spirit of the Green Deal, and that spirit is strong in the revised Directive.
Thank you.
Compliments of the European Commission.
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Economic and Financial Affairs Council, 5 April 2022

Main results
War in Ukraine and sanctions against Russia
The Council discussed the implementation of the sanctions imposed by the EU on Russia, their effectiveness (with the aim of preventing any circumvention) and their strengthening. The ministers also discussed the economic issues related to the reception of Ukrainian refugees.
Ministers then welcomed Serhii Marchenko, Minister for Finance of Ukraine, who participated in his first ECOFIN meeting by video conference. The Council was able to reaffirm its full solidarity with the Ukrainian people and to take stock of the financial and material support provided to Ukraine.
The Council then discussed the impact of the war in Ukraine on the European economies, based on a new assessment by the European Commission. The discussion focused in particular on the measures taken at national and European level to deal with the increase in energy and raw material prices. The importance of coordination between member states of national support plans was stressed.
EU economy and finance ministers agreed to continue to monitor developments closely and confirmed the need for European unity and solidarity. Already on 25 February, the ministers had issued a declaration together with the European Commission and the European Central Bank, underlining their unity, their commitment to consider all possible sanctions, as well as their willingness to strengthen Europe’s strategic autonomy.

Ukraine: press statement from the EU Ministers for Finance, European Commission and the European Central Bank (press release, 25 February 2022)
Council adopts €1.2 billion assistance to Ukraine (press release, 21 February 2022)
Timeline – EU restrictive measures in response to the crisis in Ukraine (background information)
EU restrictive measures in response to the crisis in Ukraine (background information)

European economic and financial strategic autonomy
The Council adopted conclusions on the strategic autonomy of the European economic and financial sector. The current geopolitical context has made the concrete steps towards this objective even more crucial.

Council adopts conclusions on the strategic autonomy of the European economic and financial sector (press release, 5 April 2022)
Versailles declaration, 10-11 March 2022
Communication from the Commission: The European economic and financial system: fostering openness, strength and resilience, 19 January 2021
Conclusions of the European Council of 1 and 2 October 2020

European financial architecture for development
The Council discussed the implementation of the 2021 Council conclusions on strengthening the European financial architecture for development, taking the example of the EBRD and EIB initiatives to provide financial support to Ukraine.
The discussion was based on a presentation on the current status of implementation of the European financial architecture for development given by the Commission, the European Investment Bank (EIB), and the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD).

Report from the Commission to the Council: Commission’s roadmap for an improved European financial architecture for development and 2021 progress report, 24 March 2022
European Financial Architecture for Development – EIB-EBRD Joint Report of 25 November 2021
Council adopts conclusions on enhancing the European financial architecture for development (press release, 14 June 2021)

Corporate taxation: fair and effective taxation for multinational groups
The Council discussed the work on the transposition into EU law of the global agreement reached at the OECD Inclusive Framework that multinationals should not pay less than 15% tax anywhere in the world.
The aim of the directive is to transpose into EU law the two-pillar reform of the rules on international corporate taxation, as agreed by the global OECD/G20 inclusive framework on base erosion and profit shifting (BEPS). This international agreement, which brings together 137 countries and jurisdictions, constitutes a major milestone towards an effective and fair system of profit taxation.

Recording of the discussion at the Ecofin Council meeting on 5 April 2022
Recording of the discussion at the Ecofin Council meeting on 15 March 2022
Recording of the discussion at the Ecofin Council meeting on 18 January 2022
Directive on ensuring a global minimum level of taxation for multinational groups in the Union – Policy debate
Proposal for a Council Directive on ensuring a global minimum level of taxation for multinational groups in the Union
Fair Taxation: Commission proposes swift transposition of the international agreement on minimum taxation of multinationals
Statement on a Two-Pillar Solution to Address the Tax Challenges Arising from the Digitalisation of the Economy – 8 October 2021 (OECD)
Taxation (background information)

G20 and IMF meetings
The Council made preparations for the International Monetary Fund (IMF) spring meetings and agreed on the EU’s mandate for the upcoming G20 meeting of finance ministers and central bank governors on 20 April.
Financial services legislation
The Commission gave a presentation on the state of play as regards the implementation of financial services legislation.
Other items
The Council adopted updated Value Added Tax (VAT) rules and a reinforced mandate for the EU’s Fundamental Rights Agency (FRA). It also adopted a decision authorising member states to sign the second additional protocol to the convention on cybercrime (Budapest convention). This protocol will improve cross-border access to electronic evidence used in criminal proceedings. All three items were adopted without discussion.

Council directive amending directives 2006/112/EC and (EU) 2020/285 as regards rates of value added tax
Fundamental rights Council adopts reinforced mandate for Fundamental Rights Agency (Press release, 5 April 2022)
Access to e-evidence: Council authorises member states to sign international agreement (Press release, 5 April 2022)

Compliments of the European Council.
The post Economic and Financial Affairs Council, 5 April 2022 first appeared on European American Chamber of Commerce New York [EACCNY] | Your Partner for Transatlantic Business Resources.

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Ukraine: €17 billion of EU funds to help refugees

The Council today adopted legislative amendments making it possible for member states to redirect resources from cohesion policy funds and the Fund for European Aid for the Most Deprived (FEAD) to assist the refugees escaping the Russian military aggression against Ukraine.
The swift amendment of the legislation on EU funds is a clear statement of the EU’s continued solidarity with the refugees from Ukraine and with the member states hosting them, in particular those sharing borders with Ukraine.
This is an important step in ensuring member states have sufficient resources to meet the growing needs for housing, education and healthcare.
Cohesion policy funds
The Council adopted the regulation on Cohesion’s Action for Refugees in Europe (CARE) amending the 2014-2020 legal framework governing the European Structural and Investment Funds (ESIF) and the Fund for European Aid for the Most Deprived (FEAD).
This measure will also reinforce member states’ ongoing efforts to tackle the extended impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.
In addition, the changes include exceptional flexibility to transfer resources between programmes financed by the European Regional Development Fund and the European Social Fund to address the inflow of refugees.
This flexibility means, for example, that ERDF resources earmarked for infrastructural projects can be reallocated to provide healthcare and education to persons escaping Russia’s war against Ukraine.
Member states can use overall up to €9.5 billion under the 2022 tranche of REACT-EU, one of the largest post-pandemic EU public investment programmes, as well as unallocated cohesion policy resources under the 2014-2020 budgetary period.
CARE also extends by one accounting year the 100% financing from the EU budget for cohesion programmes. This will alleviate the burden on national and regional budgets due to the inflow of refugees from Ukraine.
The start date for the new measures eligible for funding under CARE is set at 24 February 2022, the date of the Russian invasion.
The extension of the 100% financing, the unlocking of unprogrammed 2014-2020 cohesion funding, and the 2022 React-EU tranche are estimated to release almost €17 billion.
Home affairs funds
The Council also adopted an amendment to the 2014-2020 home affairs funds and to the 2021-2027 asylum, migration and integration fund. This amendment will provide extra resources for the reception of persons escaping the war in Ukraine.
It will extend by one year the implementation period of the 2014-2020 home affairs funds and unlock access to unspent amounts in the asylum and migration fund which had previously been earmarked for other purposes.
This will enable member states to urgently use the remaining funds to help address the mass inflow of persons and is expected to release an estimated maximum amount of €420 million in additional support from unused funds.
The text also provides member states and other public or private donors with the possibility to make additional financial contributions under the 2021-2027 fund as external assigned revenue. This external assigned revenue will make it possible to finance asylum and migration activities in member states during crises, including those arising from the invasion of Ukraine.
Next steps
The CARE regulation and the regulation amending the 2014-2020 home affairs funds and the 2021-2027 asylum, migration and integration fund will enter into force on the day after their publication in the Official Journal of the European Union, which is expected in the next few days.
Compliments of the European Council.
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IMF | Deciding When Debt Becomes Unsafe

Don’t expect easy answers or simple rules. Projecting growth, deficits, and interest rates is just the beginning
When does the level of debt become unsafe?
To answer this question, we need a definition of “unsafe.” I propose the following: Debt becomes unsafe when there is a non-negligible risk that, under existing and likely future policies, the ratio of debt to GDP will steadily increase, leading to default at some point.
The natural way to proceed is then straightforward.
The dynamics of the debt ratio depend on the evolution of three variables: primary budget balances (that is, spending net of interest payments minus revenues); the real interest rate (the nominal rate minus the rate of inflation); and the real rate of economic growth.
A two-step approach
The first step must be to form forecasts of those three variables under existing policies and work out the implications for the dynamics of the debt-to-GDP ratio. Forecasts of these levels for the next decade or so are likely to be available. But such forecasts are not enough; we need to assess the uncertainty associated with those forecasts, which means coming up with a range of possible outcomes for each variable.
That is much harder, and it involves answering some tricky questions. For example, what is the risk of a recession and its likely magnitude? What is the risk that real interest rates will rise? If they do, how does the maturity of the debt affect interest payments?
If debt is partly in foreign currency—often the case for emerging market economies—what is the likely distribution of the exchange rate? What is the probability that some of the implicit liabilities transform themselves into actual liabilities; that, for example, the social security system runs a large deficit which must be financed by a transfer from the government? What is the distribution of the underlying potential growth rate?
Going through this step delivers a distribution of the debt ratio, say, a decade from now. If the probability that the ratio steadily increases at the end of the horizon is small enough, we can conclude that the debt is safe. If not, we must move to the second step and answer the next set of questions: Will the government do something about it? And if the government announces new policies or commitments, what is the probability that it will deliver on those?
This second step is even harder than the first. The answers depend on the nature of the government: a coalition government may be less likely to take tough measures than one with a large legislative majority. The outcome depends not just on the current government, but on those in the future, and thus the results of future elections. It depends on the reputation of the country, and on whether, when, and why it has defaulted in the past.
If all this sounds difficult, that’s because it is. If it sounds like it depends on many assumptions that can be challenged, that’s because it does. This is not a defect of the approach but a reflection of the complexity of the world. But the exercise must be done. Indeed, it is what credit-rating agencies do, whether they use the same terms to describe the process, and whether or not their criterion for a less than perfect rating depends on the same definition as mine. With a lower rating comes the effective punishment; namely, a government will have to compensate investors for taking on the higher risk of default by paying a higher rate of interest.
The problem with rules
Now let me go back to the original question. When does the level of debt become unsafe?
The process I have described makes it obvious that the answer is not going to be some universal magic number. Nor will there be a combination of two magic numbers, one for debt and one for the deficit.
This is particularly obvious if we think of changes in the underlying interest rates. Suppose, as has been the case in the United States since the early 1990s, that the real interest rate falls by 4 percentage points. That implies a decrease in the real cost of servicing the debt of 4 percent of the debt ratio; so if debt is 100 percent of GDP, debt service falls by 4 percent of GDP. Quite obviously, lower rates imply much more favorable debt dynamics. A debt ratio that may have been unsafe in the early 1990s is much less likely to be unsafe now. We might conclude from this that the magic variable therefore should not be the ratio of debt to GDP, but rather the ratio of debt service to GDP. This would indeed be an improvement, but it comes with its own problems: the variability of debt-service costs depends on the variability of real interest rates, which can be substantial. An increase in the real rate from 1 percent to 2 percent will double the debt-service cost. The cost may be low but it is also uncertain, and the uncertainty will affect whether the debt is safe or not.

‘The answer is not going to be some universal magic number. ‘

The long decrease in real interest rates is in part what has triggered the current discussion on the appropriateness of magic numbers and the reforms of EU budget rules. But the point is much broader: take two countries with the same high debt ratio but with different types of governments, or debt denominated in different currencies. One’s debt might be safe, while the other’s might not.
So my answer to the question is, I do not know what level of debt, in general, is safe. Give me a specific country and a specific time, and I will use the approach above to give you my answer. Then we can discuss whether my assumptions are reasonable.
But don’t ask me for a simple rule. Any simple rule will be too simple. For sure, Maastricht criteria or so-called Black Zero (balanced budget) rules will, if they are respected, ensure sustainability. But they will do so at the cost of constraining fiscal policy when it should not be constrained. Most observers agree for example that fiscal consolidation in the European Union in the wake of the global financial crisis, a consolidation triggered by the rules, was too strong and delayed the EU recovery.
And do not ask me for a complex rule. It will never be complex enough. The history of the EU rules, and the addition of more and more conditions to the point where the rules have become incomprehensible but are still considered inadequate, proves the point.
Compliments of the IMF.
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Remarks by President Charles Michel after the EU-China summit via videoconference

Good afternoon. We have just concluded our EU-China summit. Today’s summit is not business as usual, because this is a war-time summit. We are living through the gravest security crisis in Europe since World War Two. Putin’s war in Ukraine continues to kill women and children and destroy entire cities, and this is a blatant violation of international law. The European Union’s top priority is to stop the war as soon as possible and to protect the Ukrainian people.
In times of crisis, dialogue is needed more than ever. That is why we focused on what can be done to end this war as soon as possible. The EU and China agreed that this war is threatening global security and the world economy. This global instability is not in China’s interest and not in the EU’s interest. We share a responsibility as global actors to work for peace and stability. We call on China to help end the war in Ukraine. China cannot turn a blind eye to Russia’s violation of international law.  These principles are enshrined in the UN Charter and principles sacred to China.
The EU, together with its international partners, has imposed heavy sanctions on Russia.  Our goal is to put pressure on the Kremlin to end the war. These sanctions also have a price for us in Europe, but this is the price of defending freedom and democracy. Any attempts to circumvent sanctions or provide aid to Russia would prolong the war. This would lead to more loss of life and a greater economic impact. This is not in anyone’s long-term interests. We will also remain vigilant on any attempts to aid Russia financially or militarily. However, positive steps by China to help end the war would be welcomed by all Europeans and by the global community.
We also discussed areas of shared interest where we cooperate, such as global health. We want to engage with China and all members of the WHO on a new agreement on pandemic prevention, preparedness and response. We are also cooperating with China to protect our planet.  We can and we must do more. We must be ready for COP27 in Egypt later this year.  We also called on China to further increase its ambition on environment, biodiversity and climate action.
We also discussed areas where we disagree. We raised our concerns about China’s treatment of minorities in Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia, and of the people of Tibet.  This includes the crackdown on human rights defenders. We also expressed our regret at the dismantling of the ‘one country, two systems’ principle in Hong Kong.  We also insisted a lot on the relaunch of the Human Rights Dialogue, and Prime Minister Li Keqiang confirmed that this relaunch would take place. We also raised individual human rights cases.
We also discussed our trade and economic relationship with China, to make it fairer, to ensure reciprocity, to achieve a level playing field, to rebalance our bilateral trade and investment relations. We also raised the issue of China’s discriminatory trade practices against Lithuania and the effects on the integrity of the single market.
We also touched on a number of international issues: Taiwan, of course, and the importance of preserving stability and the status quo in the Taiwan Strait, the challenges in Afghanistan, as well as the situation in Myanmar and the Korean Peninsula.
En conclusion, nous avons eu l’occasion de mener ces discussions avec les autorités chinoises dans ce contexte exceptionnel: cette situation extrêmement grave, avec cette guerre déclenchée par la Russie en Ukraine. Cette guerre est une tragédie pour l’Ukraine. Cette guerre est aussi une agression contre l’ordre international fondé sur des règles et contre le droit international en général.
Nous avons eu l’occasion d’argumenter, de plaider, d’expliquer quelle est la position de l’Union européenne et de quelle manière nous comptons sur l’engagement de la Chine afin d’agir de manière active, afin de participer à tous les efforts pour restaurer la paix et la stabilité.
Compliments of the European Council.
The post Remarks by President Charles Michel after the EU-China summit via videoconference first appeared on European American Chamber of Commerce New York [EACCNY] | Your Partner for Transatlantic Business Resources.

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FSB | FinTech and Market Structure in the COVID-19 Pandemic: Implications for financial stability

The COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated the trend toward digitalisation of retail financial services.
This report examines whether the COVID-19 pandemic changed the ways in which individuals and firms engage with innovative financial service providers and traditional financial incumbents. Its main finding is that the pandemic has accelerated the trend toward digitalisation of retail financial services.
Comprehensive data on market shares of FinTechs, BigTechs and incumbent financial institutions in retail digital services are scarce. However, available proxies and insights from market participants suggest that BigTechs in particular have further expanded their footprint in financial services.
The report discusses benefits from accelerated digitalisation of financial services during the pandemic, and whether those observed changes may be structural or revert back to pre-pandemic levels once conditions normalise. The report also considers the financial stability implications of this accelerated trend towards digitalisation, such as potential market dominance of certain players, and the related concerns around incumbent financial institutions that may be digital laggards.
The report outlines the range of policy actions authorities have taken during the pandemic that may impact market structure and the role of FinTechs, BigTechs and incumbent financial institutions. These actions relate to financial stability, competition, data privacy and governance issues. The report also outlines parallel international work on third-party dependencies of the financial sector, for instance in cloud computing.
The report stresses the importance of cooperation between regulatory and supervisory authorities, including those charged with overseeing the bank and non-bank sectors, and where relevant, with competition and data protection authorities.
Compliments of the Financial Stability Board.
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ECB Speech | A digital euro that serves the needs of the public: striking the right balance

Introductory statement by Fabio Panetta, Member of the Executive Board of the ECB, at the Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs of the European Parliament |

Thank you for inviting me to update you on the digital euro project and the progress made since we last met in November.
We have previously discussed the broad policy objectives associated with a digital euro.[1] Today, I would first like to highlight some important features which, by making a digital euro attractive to citizens and merchants alike, would help us to achieve these objectives.
I will do so by discussing the findings of the focus groups we held – which we are publishing today on the occasion of this hearing[2] – and our analysis of “use cases” for the digital euro. In the jargon of payments, this term refers to the payment segments that a digital euro could serve.
I will then present our preliminary findings on how to reconcile the right to confidentiality with the public interest in countering illegal activities, continuing the discussion we had a year ago.[3]
Meeting the payment needs of Europeans today and tomorrow
The primary aim of a digital euro is to maintain the accessibility and usability of central bank money in an increasingly digitalised economy. But for a digital euro to fulfil this role, people need to be able and willing to use it.
From the outset, I have stressed that a digital euro can only be successful if it meets the payment needs of Europeans today and in the future.
The findings of our focus groups provide valuable input here, though we are mindful of the natural limitations of qualitative analyses of this kind.[4]
The focus groups suggested that people see the ability to “pay anywhere” as the most important feature of a new digital payment instrument. This emerged in all countries and age groups. It means that, ideally, all merchants across the euro area – both in physical stores and online – would need to accept a digital euro. 20 years ago, the introduction of euro banknotes made it possible for us to pay with physical euros anywhere in the euro area. So it is no surprise that people expect to be able to use the digital complement to banknotes wherever they can pay digitally or online.
Instant, easy, contactless payments, especially for person-to-person payments, were the second-most valued feature. Cash has so far remained dominant in person-to-person payments. And we will ensure that people continue to have access to cash. But the focus groups confirm previous findings: preferences are shifting towards digital payments.[5] The experience of countries both inside[6] and outside[7] the euro area shows that contactless person-to-person payments may grow very rapidly when convenient digital solutions become available.
Participants in the focus groups would like to see a solution that would allow instant person-to-person payments regardless of the platform used by the payers and payees. Today, making mobile payments to friends at the click of a button – for example when splitting bills in restaurants or collecting money for a gift – is often easiest when everyone is using the same app. Participants therefore envisaged a one-stop solution that would reduce the need for multiple cards, devices and identification methods and give them access to a range of payment options on a single device.
Our focus groups also confirmed what I called “rational inattention” during our exchange in November.[8] People tend not to pay attention to – or understand – the difference between the digital euro and the euros they already spend using private digital means of payment. For the financial system to work smoothly, public money and commercial bank money are meant to be fully interchangeable yet distinguishable. People do not think twice about storing and using their money via private intermediaries because they know they can regularly go to the cash machine and withdraw banknotes without any problems. This provides tangible proof that their money in the bank is safe. Convertibility with central bank money on a one-to-one basis therefore anchors people’s confidence in private money, supporting its wide acceptance.[9]
The findings from focus groups were also used to validate our selection of possible use cases of a digital euro.[10] We identified them by looking both at our policy objectives and at the importance of different market segments.
Physical stores are the most important market segment for digital payments, accounting for more than 40 billion transactions in the euro area in 2019.[11] E-commerce payments are less numerous but are expected to continue to grow rapidly in the coming years.[12] These segments are served by a multitude of payment solutions, often with only domestic reach. So far, they have been dominated by non-European providers and technologies.[13]
Given their importance now and in the future, payments in e-commerce and physical stores, as well as person-to-person payments, are natural candidates to be prioritised among the possible use cases of a digital euro. The digital euro could also be used for payments between governments and individuals, for example to pay out public welfare allowances or to pay taxes.[14]
If a digital euro offered these payment options, we would achieve network effects, continue to ensure public access and full usability of central bank money for digital payments, and help to address sovereignty concerns. In the next steps of our investigation phase, we will therefore focus on assessing the actual feasibility of these use cases.
But we will leave the door open to the inclusion of other use cases in the future. We are monitoring emerging trends such as machine-to-machine payments.[15] And we are looking into solutions to respond to these trends in future releases of a digital euro.[16]
In the coming months, and building on the findings of the focus groups, we will carefully investigate how to design an attractive digital euro product that responds to the expectations of payers and payees alike.
Co-legislators have a key role to play. For instance, the ability to pay with digital euro anywhere could be fostered by giving it legal tender status. We are thoroughly and carefully analysing this issue together with the European Commission. We stand ready to discuss the matter further with you, also on the basis of the outcome of the upcoming consultation on digital euro the Commission has recently announced.
The trade-offs between privacy and other EU policy objectives
The legal framework will also be key when it comes to privacy, which is one of the most important design features of a digital euro.[17]
The public consultation we conducted between October 2020 and January 2021 indicated that protecting privacy is key, so that the digital euro helps to maintain trust in payments in the digital age.[18] Focus group participants also said they would appreciate options that give them control over their personal data.
It is not surprising that people expect payments in digital euro to guarantee high privacy standards. As payments go digital, private companies are increasingly monetising payment data.
We already provide cash, the payment instrument with the highest level of privacy. We are committed, as a public institution, to retain people’s trust in this area if a digital euro is issued.
At the same time, we need to assess privacy in the context of other EU policy objectives, such as anti-money laundering (AML) and combating the financing of terrorism (CFT). Concerns about regulations being circumvented, including to bypass international sanctions, have become even more prominent recently, notably in relation to crypto-assets.
Over the past few months we have investigated various options to address the trade-off between retaining a high degree of privacy and other important public policy objectives.[19]
Full anonymity is not a viable option from a public policy perspective. It would raise concerns about the digital euro potentially being used for illicit purposes.[20] In addition, it would make it virtually impossible to limit the use of the digital euro as a form of investment, but this limitation is essential from a financial stability perspective.[21]
This means that users would need to identify themselves when they start using the digital euro.[22] Supervised intermediaries – which are the natural candidates for distributing a digital euro – are best placed to manage this onboarding process.[23]
Moving beyond onboarding, our analysis suggests that digital euro transaction data should not be visible to the Eurosystem – or any other central entity – beyond what is strictly needed to perform its functions.[24]
In a baseline scenario, a digital euro would provide people with a level of privacy equal to or higher than that of private digital solutions. Under this set-up, personal and transaction data[25] would only be accessible to intermediaries to ensure compliance with AML/CFT requirements and relevant provisions under EU law.[26]
We have also been exploring options to go beyond this baseline and provide greater privacy, should the co-legislators decide in favour of this approach. This could allow the digital euro to replicate some cash-like features and enable greater privacy for lower-value payments, which are usually low risk in terms of money laundering, terrorism financing and violations of relevant EU law.
Consider paying “offline” in digital euro in a shop, with payer and payee in close proximity to each other. This would be very similar to making a cash payment. Should different standards apply for these two payments, even if the risk profiles are similar? Take the example of a chip that can store up to €200 in digital euro – the risk that it is used for money laundering purposes hardly seems higher than for a physical €200 banknote, especially if the chip requires biometric authentication before you can use it.
We are therefore exploring an offline functionality whereby holdings, balances and transaction amounts would not be known to anyone but the user. To contain the risks, these balances and private offline payments would have an upper limit.
In general, a greater degree of privacy could be considered for lower-value online and offline payments. These payments could be subject to simplified AML/CFT checks, while higher-value transactions would remain subject to the standard controls.[27]
If greater privacy were to be enabled for lower-value payments in digital euro, it should apply to transactions anywhere in the euro area. This would require a harmonised framework for simplified checks, as foreseen in the European Commission’s AML/CFT package from July 2021.[28]
The Eurosystem High-Level Task Force that I chair is exploring the technical and regulatory aspects, in close cooperation with the European Commission and the European data protection authorities.[29]
But there are important political choices to be made, which makes our dialogue with you crucial.
Conclusion
Let me conclude.
We are building a broad consensus around the policy objectives for a digital euro through our interactions with stakeholders, political authorities and other major central banks. But just recognising the political need for a digital euro will not by itself guarantee sufficient usage.
Step by step, we are getting a clearer picture of what citizens and merchants want, so we can finetune all the design features of a digital euro before any potential issuance. And co-legislators have a key role to play, for instance to enable greater privacy.
We do not want to be “too successful” and crowd out private payment solutions and financial intermediation. But the digital euro should be “successful enough” and generate sufficient demand by adding value for users.
We already have an idea of the views of the prospective users of a digital euro thanks to our discussions with focus groups. Towards the end of the year we will conduct another round of focus groups, this time giving participants a better idea of the envisaged user experience to gather their feedback.
We will also step up our dialogue with stakeholders in the coming weeks and months, listening to prospective users like consumer groups, small and medium-sized enterprises, retailers and large corporations, as well as to banks and payment service providers. We will also continue to interact with academia and think tanks.
We stand ready to discuss these consultations with you at future hearings. The alignment of European authorities and institutions, mindful of their respective mandates and independence, will be key if a digital euro is to be accepted.
I now look forward to our discussion.
Compliments of the European Central Bank.

Panetta, F. (2021), “Designing a digital euro for the retail payments landscape of tomorrow”, introductory remarks at the ECON Committee of the European Parliament, 18 November.

Study on New Digital Payment Methods, Report March 2022

See the letter to Ms Irene Tinagli MEP available on the ECB’s website.

The qualitative research was conducted by an external company in all euro area countries. To ensure the robustness of the research and to obtain a comprehensive overview of perceptions and attitudes on the topic, a carefully selected range of target audiences were interviewed across all 19 euro area countries. These included 2,160 members of the general public, 142 tech-savvy participants, 138 merchants and retailers, and 89 individuals with limited access to banking services or the internet, all of whom were interviewed using a tailored qualitative design per target group. At the same, given the qualitative nature of the research, no conclusions can be drawn with regard to the representativeness of these results for the population of the euro area.The aim of the focus groups was to explore the user perspective on new digital payment methods and potential key features which could drive the adoption of a new digital means of payment. Participants were not immediately presented with the concept of a digital euro for multiple reasons, including the complexity of the concept of central bank digital currencies in general and the concept of the digital euro specifically. Instead, the idea of a new “digital wallet” was introduced to encourage discussions about possible desirable features and functionalities of a new digital payment method in comparison with those already on the market. The digital euro was introduced towards the end of the discussion to explore the existing level of knowledge and understanding among respondents as well as their perception of a digital euro being backed by the ECB/Eurosystem.

ECB (2020), Study on the payment attitudes of consumers in the euro area (SPACE), December.

In 2019 Dutch consumers made 54% of their transactions with relatives, friends, colleagues and other acquaintances in cash and 45% electronically. Between 2018 and 2019, the share of cash fell by 5 percentage points, whereas that of electronic money transfers increased by 7 percentage points. See De Nederlandsche Bank (2020), “Shift of cash to debit card continues”, 20 April.

In Sweden, the successful introduction and rapid growth of Swish resulted in a sharp decline in the use of cash. See Sveriges Riksbank (2020), “Cash is losing ground”, 29 October.

Panetta, F. (2021), op. cit.

Panetta, F. (2021), “Central bank digital currencies: a monetary anchor for digital innovation”, speech at the Elcano Royal Institute, Madrid, 5 November.

A digital euro use case describes a payment segment that a digital euro could serve. For instance, a digital euro could be used by individuals to pay another individual (person to person), to pay e-retailers for online purchases (e-commerce) or for purchases made in a physical shop (point of sale). A digital euro could also be used by businesses to pay an individual (business to person) or to pay another company (business to business). Finally, a digital euro could be used for payments to/by the government (e.g. to pay tax or receive welfare payments) or for machine-initiated payments (e.g. to make fully automated payments initiated by a device or software based on predetermined conditions).

ECB (2020), op. cit.

Figures from Eurostat indicate that the adoption of e-commerce doubled in the euro area between 2015 and 2021. In terms of population reach, 73% of the EU population indicated that they had “bought online or ordered” “goods or services” for private use in the previous 12 months, compared with 62% in 2015. Looking at developments across countries, growth rates in e-commerce tend to be inversely correlated with e-commerce penetration. Compared with the United States (20%) and the United Kingdom (24%), e-commerce penetration is still relatively low in key European markets such as Spain (9%), France (9%) and Germany (14%), which suggests there is potential for continued growth. See, for example, McKinsey & Company (2021), “How e-commerce share of retail soared across the globe: A look at eight countries”, 5 March.

Non-European payment providers handle around 70% of European card payment transactions. See ECB (2019), Card payments in Europe, April. Furthermore, international e-payment solutions are gaining traction.

Public payments would allow direct digital payment of government subsidies and allowances to citizens that have no access to bank accounts, which could provide added value compared with existing solutions in the market.

Machine-to-machine payments are automated payments between machines. For example, autonomous vehicles, such as cars or trucks, or other industrial machines could pay for their own energy, maintenance and insurance and accept payments for their services.

Design features like privacy, programmability or an offline functionality could apply to multiple use cases.

Panetta, F. (2021), “A digital euro to meet the expectations of Europeans”, introductory remarks at the ECON Committee of the European Parliament, 14 April.

About 43% of respondents to the public consultation conducted by the ECB from 12 October 2020 to 12 January 2021 ranked privacy as the most important aspect of a digital euro, well ahead of other features.

From a user perspective, different privacy options could be envisaged. Full anonymity would mean the identity of users is unknown when they access services, with no “know your customer” (KYC) or customer due diligence (CDD) checks. Payments that would be fully transparent to the central bank would involve KYC checks during onboarding, and all transaction data and user profiling data would be fully transparent to the central bank. Payments that are non-transparent to third parties would also involve KYC checks during onboarding, but balances and transaction amounts would not be known to intermediaries or the central bank. Payments that are transparent to intermediaries would involve KYC checks during onboarding, and transaction data and user profiling data would be transparent to the intermediary for AML/CFT purposes. Selective privacy would involve KYC checks during onboarding, but there would be a higher degree of privacy for low-value transactions, while large-value transactions would remain subject to standard CDD checks.

The AML/CFT package proposed by the European Commission in July 2021 extends the ban on anonymous accounts to wallets, in line with the international standards of the Financial Action Task Force. This means that intermediaries of a digital euro will be prohibited from hosting anonymous accounts and/or wallets.

Panetta, F. (2021), “Evolution or revolution? The impact of a digital euro on the financial system”, speech at a Bruegel online seminar, 10 February.

The KYC and CDD checks currently in place include processes to determine a customer’s status, such as their political exposure, source of funds, appearance on sanction lists, etc. Users will need to go through the onboarding process when first starting to use a digital euro. One possibility could be to provide different types of accounts/wallets where the transaction amounts could be limited in proportion to KYC/CDD measures – similar to the risk-based approach taken by some other central banks.

ECB (2020), Report on a digital euro, October.

The Eurosystem would only access the minimum information required, for example for performing the settlement function (i.e. validating payments if performed by the Eurosystem), or for other central bank functions, such as supervisory and oversight tasks.

Personal data are understood as any information that relates to an individual who can be identified (e.g. name, physical and email addresses and location information). Transaction data include any information related to a specific payment, which includes payer’s wallet/account number, transaction counterparty, transaction amount, date/time/location of the transaction, and information about goods/services purchased (including billing or shipping address).

In particular, the requirements set out in the General Data Protection Regulation and the Payment Services (PSD 2) Directive.

Larger-value transactions would still be subject to standard CDD checks and it would be important to ensure that larger payments are not split into many smaller ones to circumvent checks.

The AML package proposes harmonising AML/CFT requirements, including CDD checks, across the EU. This would ensure a level playing field for CDD checks that could also benefit the digital euro. The package also proposes defining new harmonised conditions for simplified due diligence by means of a regulatory technical standard to be prepared by the future EU AML authority. Where lower risks are identified, simplified due diligence could potentially be applied, in certain circumstances, to certain digital euro transactions.

ECB (2021), “ECB intensifies technical work on digital euro with the European Commission”, MIP News, 19 January.

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IMF | Tight Jobs Market Is a Boon for Workers But Could Add To Inflation Risks

Labor shortages have pushed up wage growth, benefitting low-wage workers but adding to inflation risks. Bringing more workers back into the labor force would ease these pressures while making the recovery more inclusive.
By late 2021, there were 50 percent to 80 percent more unfilled jobs in Australia, Canada, the United Kingdom and the United States than there were prior to the pandemic. Open vacancies were at or above their 2019 levels in other advanced economies too, and have risen steadily across all sectors, including those that are more contact-intensive, such as hospitality and transportation. Increases in vacancies have been largest for low-skilled jobs.
The sharp rise in unfilled vacancies partly reflects how strong the economic recovery in advanced economies had been until the start of the Ukraine crisis, with firms recruiting en masse to cope with booming demand.
But, as a new IMF Study shows, this is just one part of the story.
Why aren’t vacancies being filled?
Vacancies have been hard to fill for several reasons, some of which were outlined in a previous blog. One is health concerns related to the pandemic. Because of these, some older and lower-skilled workers previously employed in contact-intensive industries remain outside of the labor force, shrinking the pool of available job seekers.
In the median advanced country, low-skilled workers account for over two-thirds of the gap between aggregate employment and its pre-pandemic trend. Older workers, as a group, contribute about one-third of this employment gap. In some countries, such as Canada and the United Kingdom, the decline in immigration also seems to have amplified labor shortages among low-skill jobs.
Another reason why vacant jobs have been hard to fill is that COVID-19 may well have changed workers’ job preferences. In the United States, resignations have risen beyond what their historical relationship with vacancies would imply, suggesting that workers are not just seizing opportunities in a hot labor market but also searching for better working conditions. In the United Kingdom, resignations have risen the most for low-wage jobs that are contact-intensive, physically strenuous or offer little flexibility, such as in transport and storage, wholesale and retail trade, or hotels and restaurants.
Impact on wage growth and inflation
Labor market tightness (as measured by the ratio of vacancies to the number of unemployed workers) has pushed up wage growth across the board. But the impact on wage growth in low-wage sectors has been over twice as large, at least in the United States and United Kingdom. This is because wages are over twice as responsive to tightness in low-pay industries, which have also seen larger increases in tightness than other industries. We estimate that the annual growth rate of nominal wages in low-pay industries increased by 4 to 6 percentage points between mid-2020 and late 2021 because of rising labor market tightness, helping reduce wage inequality in some countries. However, on average, these pay gains have not yet resulted in additional spending power due to higher price inflation.
The overall impact of increased tightness on wage inflation has been more moderate so far, at least 1.5 percentage points in both countries. This is partly because of the small overall share of low-pay industries (and jobs) in total labor costs.
Insofar as labor market tightness persists, it is likely to keep overall nominal wage growth strong going forward. The impact on inflation is expected to be manageable unless workers start to demand higher compensation in response to recent price hikes and/or inflation expectations rise. Central banks should continue to signal their strong commitment to avoid any such price-wage spirals.
Policies can help bring workers back
Curbing COVID-19 outbreaks would enable older and low-wage workers to reenter the labor force, thereby easing labor market pressures and inflation risks. Keeping schools and daycares open will also be important for women with young children to fully get back to work.
Well-designed active labor market policies could also speed up job matching, including through short-term training programs that help workers build the skills required for new fast-growing digital-intensive occupations, such as technology and e-commerce, or more traditional jobs that have experienced acute shortages, such as truck drivers or care workers. To accommodate shifting worker’s preferences, labor laws and regulations also need to facilitate telework. And where the decline in immigration amplifies labor shortages, its resumption could further “grease the wheels” of the labor market.
Tighter labor markets in several advanced economies have been good news so far. They have increased pay, especially for low-wage workers, with a manageable impact on price inflation (the surge has predominantly been driven by other factors). But some workers who left during the pandemic have yet to return, while others have lingering concerns about their current jobs and new expectations, restricting labor supply. By doing more to help these workers, governments can make the labor market recovery more inclusive while curbing inflation risks.
Compliments of the IMF.
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Green Deal: New proposals to make sustainable products the norm and boost Europe’s resource independence

The Commission is presenting today a package of European Green Deal proposals to make sustainable products the norm in the EU, boost circular business models and empower consumers for the green transition. As announced in the Circular Economy Action Plan, the Commission is proposing new rules to make almost all physical goods on the EU market more friendly to the environment, circular, and energy efficient throughout their whole lifecycle from the design phase through to daily use, repurposing and end-of-life.
The Commission is also presenting today a new strategy to make textiles more durable, repairable, reusable and recyclable, to tackle fast fashion, textile waste and the destruction of unsold textiles, and ensure their production takes place in full respect of social rights.
A third proposal aims to boost the internal market for construction products and ensure that the regulatory framework in place is fit for making the built environment deliver on our sustainability and climate objectives.
Finally, the package includes a proposal on new rules to empower consumers in the green transition so that consumers are better informed about the environmental sustainability of products and better protected against greenwashing.
With today’s proposals, the Commission is presenting the tools to move to a truly circular economy in the EU: decoupled from energy- and resource dependencies, more resilient to external shocks and respectful of nature and people’s health. The proposals build on the success of EU’s existing Ecodesign rules, which have brought remarkable reductions in EU’s energy consumption and significant savings to consumers. In 2021 alone, existing ecodesign requirements saved consumers €120 billion. The rules have also led to a 10% lower annual energy consumption by the products in scope. By 2030, the new framework can lead to 132 mtoe of primary energy savings, which corresponds roughly to 150 bcm of natural gas, almost equivalent to EU’s import of Russian gas. 
Making sustainable products the norm
The proposal for a Regulation on Ecodesign for Sustainable Products addresses product design, which determines up to 80% of a product’s lifecycle environmental impact. It sets new requirements to make products more durable, reliable, reusable, upgradable, reparable, easier to maintain, refurbish and recycle, and energy and resource efficient. In addition, product-specific information requirements will ensure consumers know the environmental impacts of their purchases. All regulated products will have Digital Product Passports. This will make it easier to repair or recycle products and facilitate tracking substances of concern along the supply chain. Labelling can be introduced as well. The proposal also contains measures to end the destruction of unsold consumer goods, as well as expand green public procurement and provide incentives for sustainable products.
Today’s proposal extends the existing Ecodesign framework in two ways: first, to cover the broadest possible range of products; and second, to broaden the scope of the requirements with which products are to comply. Setting criteria not only for energy efficiency, but also for circularity and an overall reduction of the environmental and climate footprint of products will lead to more energy and resource independence and less pollution. It will strengthen the Single Market, avoiding diverging legislation in each Member State, and create economic opportunities for innovation and job creation, notably in remanufacturing, maintenance, recycling and repair. The proposal will set a framework and a process through which the Commission, working in close cooperation with all those concerned, will progressively set out requirements for each product or group of products.
Together with this proposal, the Commission has also adopted an Ecodesign and Energy Labelling Working Plan 2022-2024 to cover new energy-related products, update and increase the ambition for products that are already regulated, as a transitionary measure until the new regulation enters into force. It notably addresses consumer electronics (smartphones, tablets, solar panels) – the fastest growing waste stream.
To support the deployment of sustainable products across the EU market, targeted sectoral initiatives are also presented today. The EU Strategy for Sustainable and Circular Textiles and the revision of the Construction Products Regulation will address two priority product groups with significant impacts.
Sustainable and circular textiles
European consumption of textiles has the fourth highest impact on the environment and climate change, after food, housing and mobility. It is also the third highest area of consumption for water and land use, and fifth highest for the use of primary raw materials.
The EU Strategy for Sustainable and Circular Textiles sets out the vision and concrete actions to ensure that by 2030 textile products placed on the EU market are long-lived and recyclable, made as much as possible of recycled fibres, free of hazardous substances and produced in respect of social rights and the environment. Consumers will benefit longer from high quality textiles, fast fashion should be out of fashion, and economically profitable re-use and repair services should be widely available. In a competitive, resilient and innovative textiles sector, producers have to take responsibility for their products along the value chain, including when they become waste. In this way, the circular textiles ecosystem will be thriving, and be driven by sufficient capacities for innovative fibre-to-fibre recycling, while the incineration and landfilling of textiles has to be reduced to the minimum.
The specific measures will include ecodesign requirements for textiles, clearer information, a Digital Product Passport and a mandatory EU extended producer responsibility scheme. It also foresees measures to tackle the unintentional release of microplastics from textiles, ensure the accuracy of green claims, and boost circular business models, including reuse and repair services. To address fast fashion, the Strategy also calls on companies to reduce the number of collections per year, take responsibility and act to minimise their carbon and environmental footprints, and on Member States to adopt favourable taxation measures for the reuse and repair sector. The Commission will promote the shift also with awareness-raising activities.
The Strategy also aims to provide support to and accompany the textiles ecosystem throughout its transformative journey. Therefore, the Commission is launching today the co-creation of a transition pathway for the textiles ecosystem. This is an essential collaborative tool to help the ecosystem to recover from negative impacts of the Covid-19 pandemic which have been affecting companies in their daily operations for the last two years. It will also strengthen their capacities to withstand both a fierce global competition and future shocks for their long-term survival. All the actors are encouraged to take active part in the co-creation process through their commitments on circularity and circular business models, actions to strengthen sustainable competitiveness, digitalisation and resilience, and identification of specific investments needed for the twin transition.
The construction products of tomorrow
The construction ecosystem represents almost 10% of EU value added, and employs around 25 million people in over 5 million firms. The construction products industry counts 430,000 companies in the EU, with a turnover of €800 billion. These are mainly small and medium-size enterprises. They are a key economic and social asset for local communities in European regions and cities.
Buildings are responsible for around 50% of resource extraction and consumption and more than 30% of the EU’s total waste generated per year. In addition, buildings are responsible for 40% of EU’s energy consumption and 36% of energy-related greenhouse gas emissions.
The revision of the Construction Products Regulation will strengthen and modernise the rules in place since 2011. It will create a harmonised framework to assess and communicate the environmental and climate performance of construction products. New product requirements will ensure that the design and manufacture of construction products is based on state of the art to make these more durable, repairable, recyclable, easier to re-manufacture.
It will also make it easier for standardisation bodies to do their work of creating common European standards. Together with enhanced market surveillance capacities and clearer rules for economic operators along the supply chain, this will help to remove obstacles to the free movement of the internal market. Finally, the revised Regulation will offer digital solutions to reduce administrative burdens, particularly on SMEs, including a construction products database and a Digital Products Passport.
Members of the College said:
Executive Vice-President for the European Green Deal Frans Timmermans said: “It’s time to end the model of ‘take, make, break, and throw away’ that is so harmful to our planet, our health and our economy. Today’s proposals will ensure that only the most sustainable products are sold in Europe. They allow consumers to save energy, repair and not replace broken products, and make smart environmental choices when they are shopping for new ones. This is how we bring balance back in our relationship with nature and reduce our vulnerability to disruptions in global supply chains.”
Commissioner for the Internal Market Thierry Breton said: “European consumers rightly expect more environment-friendly and longer-lasting products. More sustainability and resource efficiency also means more resilience when a crisis disrupts our industrial supply chains. By harnessing the potential of the Single Market, making the most of digital tools and improving market surveillance, we will maximise opportunities for businesses and consumers alike. Greater resource and energy efficiency in the construction and textile sectors in particular will generate highly skilled jobs across Europe.”
Commissioner for the Environment, Oceans and Fisheries Virginijus Sinkevičius said: “Our circular economy proposals kick off an era where products will be designed in a way that brings benefits to all, respects the boundaries of our planet and protects the environment. Giving a longer lifespan to the phones we use, to the clothes we wear and to many other products will save money for European consumers. And at the end of their life products will not be a source of pollution, but of new materials for the economy, decreasing the dependency of European businesses on imports.” 
Compliments of the European Commission.
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European Commission and United States Joint Statement on Trans-Atlantic Data Privacy Framework

The European Commission and the United States announce that they have agreed in principle on a new Trans-Atlantic Data Privacy Framework, which will foster trans-Atlantic data flows and address the concerns raised by the Court of Justice of the European Union in the Schrems II decision of July 2020.
The new Framework marks an unprecedented commitment on the U.S. side to implement reforms that will strengthen the privacy and civil liberties protections applicable to U.S. signals intelligence activities.  Under the Trans-Atlantic Data Privacy Framework, the United States is to put in place new safeguards to ensure that signals surveillance activities are necessary and proportionate in the pursuit of defined national security objectives, establish a two-level independent redress mechanism with binding authority to direct remedial measures, and enhance rigorous and layered oversight of signals intelligence activities to ensure compliance with limitations on surveillance activities.
The Trans-Atlantic Data Privacy Framework reflects more than a year of detailed negotiations between the U.S. and E.U. led by Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo and Commissioner for Justice Didier Reynders. It will provide a durable basis for trans-Atlantic data flows, which are critical to protecting citizens’ rights and enabling trans-Atlantic commerce in all sectors of the economy, including for small and medium enterprises.  By advancing cross-border data flows, the new framework will promote an inclusive digital economy in which all people can participate and in which companies of all sizes from all of our countries can thrive.
The announcement is another demonstration of the strength of the U.S.-EU relationship, in that we continue to deepen our partnership as a community of democracies to ensure both security and respect for privacy and to enable economic opportunities for our companies and citizens.  The new Framework will facilitate further U.S.-EU cooperation, including through the Trade and Technology Council and through multilateral fora, such as the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development, on digital policies.
The teams of the U.S. Government and the European Commission will now continue their cooperation with a view to translate this arrangement into legal documents that will need to be adopted on both sides to put in place this new Trans-Atlantic Data Privacy Framework. For that purpose, these U.S. commitments will be included in an Executive Order that will form the basis of the Commission’s assessment in its future adequacy decision.
For more information
Factsheet Trans-Atlantic Data Privacy Framework 
Compliments of the European Commission.
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